Demography Demographic Methods Population Analysis

Demography Demographic Methods Population Analysis

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most normally applied data origins and application proficiencies within each of three classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the constituents of population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the amount of energy and weaknesses of respective projection methods, paying particular attention to the distinguishable difficulties of making projections for little areas, and closes with an examination of technical and methodological changes affecting the production of small-area population projections. The writers provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to formulate state and local population projections. They use galore examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, distinguishable circumstances, and highly inadequate or undependable data; they likewise describe proficiencies for controlling one set of projections to another and for interpolating amid two projections. They talk about the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and fixed resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population projection methods, but likewise of the a lot of complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.

Most helpful customer reviews

17 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
“Population Projections” for those so inclined
By Zurmang Gharwang
The new book by Smith, Tayman and Swanson is the first in many years to compile the major components of small-area population projections(data sources, methodology and evaluation) in one place.

The book is particularly good in describing the fundamentals of population analysis – which many other articles, chapters and books on projections neglect. Additionally, important advanced elements of population projections that are not commonly touched on, such as special adjustments, are addressed nicely here.

The book further instructs the reader how to use projections objectively. Too often, forecasts that are not 100% accurate are dismissed. In fact, as the book describes, imperfect forecasts still provide considerable utility in presenting alternatives, promoting agendas, sounding warnings and providing a base for other projections. To this end, the book provides a unique service in not only describing how to make small-area projections, but what to do with them.

In addition to the conventional techniques and concepts described, the authors present the latest developments in the field of projections, including structural models, GIS applications and innovative evaluative techniques.

I would strongly recommend this book as both a textbook – particularly for demography, planning, and economics students, as well as a resource for professional planners, administrators and scientists that rely on population projections.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
A very well written book that covers the topic well
By DSP
The book does a nice job of describing the nitty gritty of the cohort-component model for population projections. This is the primary method used for developing population projections, but was originally developed for looking at national populations. The authors do an excellent job of discussing the challenges involved in adapting this model for smaller areas (as small as census tracts and block groups) in terms of data availability, data quality, and how the relative importance of the different components of the cohort-component model change as smaller geographic areas are considered. In addition, their advice on how to allocate effort to different components of the model is very helpful, as is their discussion of how and why population projections can vary based on the assumptions made by the analyst (which is where the aspect of “art” comes into play). The only thing I so far think they may have missed is the use of zip+4 codes (specifically the number of those codes used) in an area that can be a fairly inexpensive way of getting up to data information for assessing net migration for that area.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Reivew of State & Local Population Projections
By clivethecat
This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques within each of three classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods, paying special attention to the unique problems of making projections for small areas, and closes with an examination of technological and methodological changes affecting the production of small-area population projections.
The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data; they also describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another and for interpolating between two projections. They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources.
This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.

See all 4 customer reviews…

Demography Demographic Methods Population Analysis Picture

Demography Demographic Methods Population Analysis Picture

Demography Demographic Methods Population Analysis Image

Demography Demographic Methods Population Analysis Photo

The humane psyche is an interesting area that remains largely unexplored. Psychology aims to explore the humane mind, attempting to figure out why we are the way we are. There are a great deal of subdivisions in psychology, and one of the most interesting ones is quantitative psychology. It is also known as measurement psychology; it is practitioners largely deal with numbers and rules, hoping to understand their meaning in our psyches.

Quantitative psychology is galore underrated sections that are likeable to persons who like to work with numbers and rules. These are the very persons who are math geniuses behind-the-scenes, formulating criterion for experiments and exploration methodology. This ensures that when exploration is conducted, they are statistically applicable as well as ethical. These psychologists also work on interpreting experiment results mathematically and systematically.

The field of quantitative psychology is including the study of methods and proficiencies that go into the figuring out humane attributes, as well as the mathematical modeling and stats of psychological processes. These psychologists furthermore design exploration studies that are carried out in universities and originations around the world. Finally, they also make an analyzation of the psychological selective information from a very technical standpoint, ensuring it is validity.

It is very important and runs all around all other distinct features of psychology, be they science, public interest, practice, or education. Without the help of quantitative psychology, psychiatrists and psychologists around the world would not recognise how to conduct their researches, or even figure out how to deduce the selective information they have found. It is very necessary in our quest to better understand the world around us.

Some of the work involved in quantitative psychology includes exploration and development in a number of areas. They are measurement, statistical analysis and exploration design. It likewise involves statistical and mathematical modeling of psychological processes. These psychologists fabricate new methodologies, as well as valuate existent ones to consider in detail psyche and conduct in controlled experiments. Their work supports all the substantive exploration in the respective areas of psychology.

Quantitative psychology is offered as a major in most psychology schools around the world. It is likeable to those who like working with numbers and are good at math. Those who wish to pursue this branch in their graduate studies will find it very easy to secure funding for exploration and studies. Few persons follow this field because is considered to be ‘dry’ equated to other areas of psychology. There are doctoral programs available for potential students as well.

As it stands, quantitative psychology deals with the mathematical and statistical analysis of psychological data, as well as researching and coming up with respective methodologies. It appeals to those who like reading up on case studies and experiments, along with numbers and rules.